Players that rarely get fantasy street credit

May 17, 2013

Here are some players that rarely get the fantasy street credit they deserve.

(% owned is ESPN leagues)

Kyle Kendrick SP, PHI (97%)- this guy has been one of the best pitchers in baseball as he has a 2.47 ERA and 1.06 WHIP on the year. Has given up 2 ER or less in 7 straight starts ( all have been QS). The key for him has been the 10 BB in 54.2 IP. This is a pitcher that you could buy-low and at the same time sell-high if you own him. Best advice would be to hold onto him unless you can trade for a quality player.

David Dejesus OF,Cubs(7.7%)- its baffling how little respect De-Jesus (Big Lebowski reference) gets. His numbers are really good as he has 24 Runs, 5 HRs, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs, .362 OBP and .516 Slugging %. For context, Carl Crawford has 24 runs, 5 HRs, 10 RBIS, 8 SBS, .369 OBP and .481 Slugging %. Those are very similar numbers. Dejesus is a very good leadoff guy and could crack 90 runs this season. He has a career .355 OBP so don’t expect his OBP to dip but his Slugging % is at a career best as he has never had a Slugging % higher than .452 but he finally has some good  hitters behind him so he might be able to finish with a career high in that category. If you need runs/OBP from a #4 or #5 OF than here is your answer.

Jorge De La Rosa SP, Col (22.3%)- One of my favorite names to say and he is having a bounce back year. People forget that he was hurt pretty much hurt the last 2 seasons. Now he looks like he has figured things out with his 2.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 6 QS. He is no longer is trying to strike every batter out as he only has 28 Ks in 45.1 IP compared to almost a strikeout per inning his whole career. If De La Rosa can stay healthy then he could be a great pickup and someone you can off the waiver wire.

Blind Resume: hint they are both catchers

Player A- has 7 runs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIS, .385 OBP & .411 Slugging %, owned in 2.8 % of ESPN leagues

Player B- has 10 runs,1 HR, 14 RBIS, .321 OBP & .402 Slugging % owned in 80.7 % of ESPN leagues.

They look pretty equal and I would choose player A because of the OBP which is the big difference.

Player A is A.J. Ellis ( see more about him below)

Player B is Salvador Perez…yea pretty shocking how not special he has been.

A.J. Ellis, C, LAD (2.8%)- the guy doesn’t do a lot but he gets On-Base as he has a .385 OBP this season and had a .373 OBP last year. If you are in a 2 catcher league that counts OBP then he is a solid #2 catcher.

“All Things Fantasy” (5-8-13)

May 8, 2013

This is the Tuesday May 7th, 2013 edition of “All Things Fantasy” where I talk mostly Fantasy Baseball including some premier players and whether you should drop them or hold them, some 2 start pitchers for next week, players to add, some SS debate, and more. My notes from the show are below

 

Adds:

Marcell Ozuna
Justin Ruggiano (17%)
David Dejesus (7%)
Luis Valbuena (2%)
Gaby Sanchez (.6%)
Questions
which one do you trade away J-Roll, D. Gordon, A. Escobar
What do u want for Matt Harvey? how would you value him?
2 start pitchers for next week
Jason Vargas (KC,CHW)
Jake Westbrook – Has given up 3 or more walks in 4 of his 5 starts. has a 1.07 ERA but 1.40 WHIP.
Hector Santiago
Do you drop
Adam Dunn (owned in 33% of leagues) : has a .151 BA (.250 OBP) and only 6 HRs w/ 12 RBIS.
roy halladay (66%)- After getting blown up again he hits the D.L with Shoulder Inflammation. has given up 17 ERS combined in last 2 starts in less than 6 IP
B.J. Upton (96.1%)- this dude has been brutalatarian. hitting .148 with 3 HRS and 3 SBS, 5 RBIs, 7 RUNs and a .231 OBP
R.A. Dickey (97%)- has struggled at times and has been brilliant at times. The Ks are there. he has given up 6 hits or more in only 3 outings. Just seems to be strugglin and hopefully he can turn it around. Faces Tampa Bay on Thursday
Mike Moustakas (40%)- 1 HR, 1 SB, .198 BA, .279 OBP.. think he will turn it around but looking to add him until I see some promise

“All Things Fantasy” (4-29-13)

April 30, 2013

This is the Monday April 29th, 2013 edition of “All Things Fantasy”. David Kerr (@askrotobaseball) joins me to talk a lot of different subjects in fantasy baseball. I give a slew of pitchers that are performing well and can they keep it up and some good pitchers that have started off bad. Here are some notes from the show.

Pitchers that are doing well and can they keep it up? (% owned in ESPN leagues)
Patrick Corbin (70.6%..+50 form last week)- 5 GS, 5 QS,1.91 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 25Ks in 33 IP. pitches @ SD next
Travis Wood (23%)- 5 GS, 5 QS, 2.25 ERA, 0.97 WHIP next start @ SD
Jake Westbrook (19%)- 4 QS,0.98 ERA
Ross Detwiler (79%)-5 GS, 4 QS, 2.03 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, only 16 Ks in 31 IP
Carlos Villanueva (61%)- 2.29 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 29 Ks in 35.1 IP, 4 QS in 5 GS
Jason Hammel-
Ervin Santana (88%)- 31 Ks in 36 IP, a 2 ERA & 1.03 WHIP, has gone 7 or more innnings in last 4 starts and all have been QS.
Wei Yen CHen
Kevin Correia- 5 QS
Tony Cingrani (90%)- has shined in first 3 starts as a major leaguer. 28 KS in 18 IP
a 1.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP next start vs Cubs,
Kyle Kendrick (18%) – 2.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 4 QS in his last 4 starts including a 3 hit  CG, Shutout in his last start vs the NYM. Gets MIA on Thursday
Bad starting pitchers
Matt Cain- 3 QS, has really had only 2 bad starts one he gave up 9 runs and another her gave up 7. has 26 Ks in 28 IP. a 6.59 ERA and 1.26 WHIP
Roy Halladay- started the year off sluggish as he has a 5.09 ERA and only 1.09 WHIP but has 3 QS and has been sensatioanl in his 3 starts. his ERA is 1.71 and has a 0.62 WHIP during that span 16Ks in 21 IP. 28 Ks in 28 IP
Kris Medlen- has been ok.. has 3 QS in 5 GS, 18 Ks in 31 IP, a 3.26 ERA and 1.36 WHIP
Yovani Gallardo- a 4.97 ERA and 1.66 WHIP 17Ks in 29 IP 2 QS oon the season- struggled in his first 3 starts as they faced COL, ARZ, @STL. 2.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his last 2 QS

“All Things Fantasy” (4-22-13)

April 23, 2013

This is the Monday April 22nd, 2013 edition of “All Things Fantasy”. I talk about players to trade away/ trade for. Give a couple of pickups and talk some strategy as well as answer some twitter questions. Here are my notes from the show.

Guys im waiting for stock to hit bottom to pickup

Ike Davis

Alfonso Soriano

Brandon Belt

guys im trading away

John Buck- is 32 and leads the Majors in RBIs. has a .290 Avg (career .230) a .303 OBP which is his career average. he had 1 year were he hit 20 HRs and finished with 60 RBIs, a .314 OBP and .281 avg

Albert Pujols- said his foot is hurting

Desmond Jennings- name is better than his production a career .248 hitter ( sitting at .239 on the year). had a .314 OBP last year and has a 3.04 OBP this year. will he hit 15 homeruns and steal 30 more bags..Probably if your expecting more than that or think his average is miraclesly going to to go up then your crazy.

Eric Hosmer- struggled last year and is struggling this year

Joaquin Benoit- Dont trust him
Carlos Gomez- last year was his first year ever hitting Double digit HRs and is alwasy going to steal bases. his OBP is .3111 (was .305 last year). had only 20 BB all of last year.

Rickie Weeks- why do people this guy is going to turn it around ..he hit .230 avg last year with a .328 OBP. currently hitting .182 BA with a .280 OBP. Strikes out more than once per game had 16 SBs, alst year, 9 year before and 11 before that. granted he did 20 or more HRs in the past 3 season.

Guys im on the fence with

Josh reddick- low average in the 2nd half of last season and has a very low average now. not doing much
Giancarlo Stanton- his stats last April..1 HR, 9 RBIs, a .247 average, and .286 OBP.
This year . 188 BA, .316 OBP 0 HR, 1 RBI
Guys im trading for
David Price/ Matt Cain- both Aces that should turn it around in no time

Josh Willingham- has a .250 BA ( career .260) and a .421 OBP ( career .362), has only 2 HRs, in 44 ABs. has combined for 64 homeruns the 2 last years. he is hitting and gettiing OBP the homeruns will follow

jose bautista- alwasy gets on-base HRs will come.

Josh Hamilton- is healthy

Adrian Beltre- struggling but will turn it around.. Has hit 28 or more runs in the previous 3 years  and surpassed 100 HRs in all those years and has hit 25 or more HRs 7 out of the last 8 years. his BA.224& OBP. 278 are at career lows (.279 BA & .331 OBP)

Adds

Lucas Duda (owned 15%)tied for 2nd in the league in walks with 15 (.475 OBP)

Kyle Seager (57.7% owned) – Leads MLB in doubles with 10.. had 35 of them last year and hit 20 HRs, with 86 RBIs and 13 SBs, was 6th amont 3B among SBs and only guys really count infront of him with Headley and Wright and Prado

“All Things Fantasy” (4-15-13)

April 16, 2013

This is the Monday April 15th, 2012 edition of “All Things Fantasy”. Michael Pichan (@fantasynomad) of rotoinfo.com joined me to talk about some recent callups, players struggling, and more. Also, Wayne Bretsky of Bretskyball.com joined me in the last segment of the show to talk about players that recently got injured. I give some players to pickup. Here are my notes from the show and some of the exact questions we talked about during the interview.\

Nomad Interview

Questions

what do we need to know about Oswaldo Arcia? Tony Cingrani?

What do you do with Jason heyward/ matt Kemp? what could you trade them for?
Are you buying or selling Josh Johnson?
what do you do if your a giancarlo stanton oowner?
Deexter Fowler already has 6 HRS..is this the breakout year everyone was hoping for?
is Jarrod Parker droppable/tradealbe

Matt Adams, Evan Gattis should owners look to trade them even if it comes at a litttle bit of an undersell as their PT will be likely limited at various points in the season?

Gio Gonzalez, Craig Kimbrel showed signs of lower avg velo

Players to pickup (% owned in ESPN leagues)
Francisco Cervelli-C, NYY(1%)- is hitting a solid .360 on the season with 8 runs, 1 HR, and 6 RBIs and has a scored a run in 6 of the last 7 games he has started.

Josh Donaldson (19%) 3B, OAK- .260 average, 2 HRs, 8 runs, 7 RBIs..

Edward Mujica RP- STL(.3%)
Nate Schierholtz OF, CHC (7.2%)- never thought I would be recommending this guy but he has been solid for the cubbies so far as hes posted a .343 avg, .410 OBP, 8 runs, 2 HRs, 6 RBIs, 2 SBs

Zach McAllister SP, CLE(1.4%)- 12 IP, 1 win, 9 Ks, 2.19 ERA, 0.89

Jhonny Peralta (35%)- .319 BA, 4 runs, 1 HR, 6 RBIs, 1 SB, has a hit in 5 straight games and 3 od games have been multi hit games.

Lucas “the Duda” Abides (7%)- a.452 OBP, 3 HRs, 6 RBIs/Runs

Ross Detwiler SP(-28.5%)- 13 IP,  2 QS, 0.69, 1.00 WHIP..only 6 Ks, next start is vs MIA on WED
Chris johnson (10%)- leads all third basemen with over 30 ABs in BA with a .405.. has a 4 game hitting streak including a 4 for 5 day yesterday. has 6 runs,1 HR, 4 RBIs.
Interview with Wayne Bretsky and the injured players we talked about
Yoenis Cespedes: should only be out 15 days and is a great buy low candidate.
Aramis Ramirez: doesnt sound like he is going to return when eligible could be an extra week or 2.

Jose Reyes:2 -3 months

Jonny Cueto: 3-4 starts=about 20 days

Aaron Hill: DTD

Grienke:2 months
Erik Aybar: Bruised heel

“All Things Fantasy” (4-8-13)

April 9, 2013

In this Monday April 8th, 2013 edition of “All Things Fantasy” I interview Jeff Erickson (@Jeff_Erickson), whos the senior editor of rotowire.com, to talk all things fantasy baseball. Then I list some pickups and go over some 2 start pitchers for next week. Also, I break down how to punt a category in baseball and why it should be stolen bases and not saves. Here are my notes from the show.

“All Things Fantasy”

Interview questions

Milwuakee Bullpen

Is Kelvin Herrera going to the closer for the Royals?

There have been a lot of players struggling, who struggles are you most concerned about?

Are you buying or selling Chris Davis 17 rbis ( next closest players have 9 John Buck & Todd Frazier)?

Is this the year Chase Utley returns to greatness?

who are some under-the-radar players that your trying to pickup?

How crucial is tonights start for Roy halladay?

Is Jose Fernandez a must-pickup?

Todd Frazier (#1) and Will Middlebrookes (#2) Who would you rather own going forward?

Are you the Yankees a team you feel confident when your SP goes against them?

is now the time to trade for Chase Headley?

 

Pickups-( % owned in ESPN leagues)

Justin Maxwell (20%)- has a hit in 5 of the games. could be a breakout for him. has a .435 OBP and has scored 5 runs.
A.J. Griffin (3%)- had a win vs SEA in his only start of the season.

Chris Young OF, OAK (2.5%)-is off to another hot start as he has 2 HRS in only 13 ABs, along witha ridic .500% OBP and .846 SLugging %

Justin Masterson (21%)- 13 IP, 1 ER (0.69 ERA), 13 Ks,0.92 WHIP, 2 Wins

Mark Reynolds (51%)

Jhoulys Chacin (9.3%)- 13 IP, 2 ER (1.35 ERA), 8 Ks, 0.90 WHIP,1 WIN
Got to listen to the show to hear my 2 start pitching options for next week.

“All Things Fantasy” (4-3-13)

April 4, 2013

 This is the Wednesday April 3rd, 2012 edition of “All Things Fantasy”. David Kerr (@askROTObaseball) joined me for the entire to show to talk all things fantasy baseball. Here are some of the things we talked about and below that are some 50% or less owned 2 start pitchers for next week.

After leading the majors in ST homeruns then hitting 2 of them last night. Is Michael Morse back/ for real?

A lot of rookies getting the starting nod this year Jose Fernandez, Jedd “ The Gyro” gyrko”, Aaron hicks, Adam eaton, Leonys Martin, ( add in some im missing), are any fantasy roster worthy?

I know it is only 1 start, but is time to worry about C.C Sabathia?

same thing for Carlos Marmol?

Is it safe to say Phil coke is the person to own in the Tigers bullpen?

Besides Jose Altuve are there any other hitters you would roster like Brett Wallace or Chris carter, Justin Maxwell?

Is now the time to sell Bryce Harper or do you just hold onto him and enjoy the ride?

Are you discouraged about R.A. Dickeys start last night?

Whos your Al/NL Cy young, MVP?

Erick Aybar or Alcides Escobar?

Should we judge Roy Halladay & timmy lincecum on todays start?

is this the year Freddie Freeman becomes a top 5 1B?

Should Clay Bucholz be owned in every league .79 ERA/WHIP in ST?

why do you like Carlos “hitting” Quentin over David Murphy?

Talk about some difficult questions you have gotten on twitter. Will try to send u some more questions later today..
2 start pitchers for next week..% owned in CBS leagues
Brandon Maurer (38% owned)- vs HOU-Philip Humber, vs TEX- Nick Tepesch
Jorge De La Rosa (28% owned)- @ SF-Bumgarner, @ SD- Clayton Richard
Brett Meyers RP, (25% owned)- vs NYY-Pettite, vs CHW-Peavy
Kevin Correia (4%)- @ KC-E. Santana, vs NYM- Matt Harvey

Results of the FSWA draft.

March 28, 2013

Here is the outcome of My FSWA draft in the Tristan Cockcroft league. I won it last year so was looking to defend my championship. Was trying to acquire pitchers that got a lot of Quality Starts with high strikeout rates and Hitters with high On-Base Percentages. Also, please comment about any of my comments or thoughts you have about the draft.

Scoring for the league

Hitters- Runs, RBI’s, Stolen Bases, On-Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage

Pitchers- Quality Starts, Strikeouts, Saves, Earned Run Average, Walks+Hits/Innings Pitched (WHIP). Each team gets 180 starts

ROUND 1

1 Ryan Braun, Mil OF Team Mike Gianella
2 Miguel Cabrera, Det 3B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
3 Mike Trout, LAA OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
4 Joey Votto, Cin 1B Team   Niec
5 Albert Pujols, LAA 1B NYC @RobShawSports
6 Robinson Cano, NYY 2B Team Ingram
7 Prince Fielder, Det 1B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
8 Andrew McCutchen, Pit OF NYC @MarkusPotter
9 Carlos Gonzalez, Col OF Team Farrell
10 Matt Kemp, LAD OF   Memphis @datrueguru
11 Giancarlo Stanton, Mia OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
12 Troy Tulowitzki, Col SS Cincinnati @Whudey

Scoring

Went Matt Kemp with my 1st pick. Was really hoping for Prince Fielder, did not want Giancarlo because he has health issues and lineup issues. Give me the player that has performed at an elite level and not the one that MIGHT perform at an elite level. Didn’t really want Kemp, but couldn’t pass over the value. Cargo is not 1st round material.

ROUND 2

13 Jose Bautista, Tor OF Cincinnati @Whudey
14 Justin Upton, Atl OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
15 Edwin Encarnacion, Tor 1B   Memphis @datrueguru
16 Jose Reyes, Tor SS Team Farrell
17 Evan Longoria, TB 3B NYC @MarkusPotter
18 Buster Posey, SF C ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
19 Justin Verlander, Det SP Team Ingram
20 Felix Hernandez, Sea SP NYC @RobShawSports
21 Josh Hamilton, LAA OF Team   Niec
22 Dustin Pedroia, Bos 2B Jake Ciely @allinkid
23 Bryce Harper, Wsh OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
24 Hanley Ramirez, LAD 3B Team Mike Gianella

I reached to take Encarncion for a couple of reasons. 1st, he was the best 1B last year with the most RBIs 110, had the highest SLG% among 1B with more than 400 ABs at .557, Tied for 3rd with 13 SBs among 1st basemen, and was 5th in OBP with .384. 2nd, there wasn’t another good 1B until Billy Butler. 3rd, he was safest pick of any of the players taken in this round besides the 2 SPs. 2 players that I would never take this early are JUP and Longo because they have never performed at an elite level for an entire season.

ROUND 3

25 Clayton Kershaw, LAD SP Team Mike Gianella
26 Stephen Strasburg, Wsh SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
27 Jason Heyward, Atl OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
28 Jacoby Ellsbury, Bos OF Team   Niec
29 David Price, TB SP NYC @RobShawSports
30 Adrian Beltre, Tex 3B Team Ingram
31 Cole Hamels, Phi SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
32 Jay Bruce, Cin OF NYC @MarkusPotter
33 David Wright, NYM 3B Team Farrell
34 Matt Cain, SF SP   Memphis @datrueguru
35 Billy Butler, KC 1B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
36 Adam Jones, Bal OF Cincinnati @Whudey

Needed an ace to anchor my staff and was hoping for Hamels, but don’t mind Cain one bit. Thought Jacobaby was a reach and Beltre was a steal this late in the draft as he normally goes in the 2nd round.

ROUND 4

37 Starlin Castro, ChC SS Cincinnati @Whudey
38 Matt Holliday, StL OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
39 Yoenis Cespedes, Oak OF   Memphis @datrueguru
40 Yadier Molina, StL C Team Farrell
41 Yu Darvish, Tex SP NYC @MarkusPotter
42 Austin Jackson, Det OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
43 Ian Kinsler, Tex 2B Team Ingram
44 Cliff Lee, Phi SP NYC @RobShawSports
45 Jered Weaver, LAA SP Team   Niec
46 Ben Zobrist, TB OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
47 B.J. Upton, Atl OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
48 Joe Mauer, Min C Team Mike Gianella

Was happy with Cespedes as he could get close to a 30/20 season with a solid OBP. Like A-jax a lot but thought it was too early to take him. Think BJ Upton is overrated because he has very low OBP at .298 and wasn’t even in top 30 in SLG% among OF’s. Also, Yadier in the 4th round is too early IMO even in a catcher 2 catcher league.

ROUND 5

49 Adrian Gonzalez, LAD 1B Team Mike Gianella
50 Paul Goldschmidt, Ari 1B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
51 Michael Bourn, Cle OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
52 Gio Gonzalez, Wsh SP Team   Niec
53 Brandon Phillips, Cin 2B NYC @RobShawSports
54 Craig Kimbrel, Atl RP Team Ingram
55 Ryan Zimmerman, Wsh 3B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
56 Max Scherzer, Det SP NYC @MarkusPotter
57 Adam Wainwright, StL SP Team Farrell
58 Aramis Ramirez, Mil 3B   Memphis @datrueguru
59 Brett Lawrie, Tor 3B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
60 Chris Sale, CWS SP Cincinnati @Whudey

Like most of the picks in this round. Needed a 3B and Aramis #s are almost identical to Beltre’s in this scoring format. A-Gon could have a great year. Brett Lawrie is over-hyped and is the only bad pick in this round.

ROUND 6

61 Matt Wieters, Bal C Cincinnati @Whudey
62 Yovani Gallardo, Mil SP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
63 R.A. Dickey, Tor SP   Memphis @datrueguru
64 Allen Craig, StL 1B Team Farrell
65 Carlos Santana, Cle C NYC @MarkusPotter
66 Madison Bumgarner, SF SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
67 CC Sabathia, NYY SP Team Ingram
68 Chase Headley, SD 3B NYC @RobShawSports
69 Johnny Cueto, Cin SP Team   Niec
70 Pablo Sandoval, SF 3B Jake Ciely @allinkid
71 Jason Kipnis, Cle 2B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
72 Shin-Soo Choo, Cin OF Team Mike Gianella

Went with R.A. Dickey because he was the best pitcher last year which makes him a solid value pick in round 6 and if he can get anywhere close to those numbers then I’ll be happy. Not sold on Allen Craig as I want to see him play a full season before trusting him. Despite his great nickname (Kung-Fu Panda) Pablo Sandoval is one of my least favorite fantasy players because he has had only 1 season of 90 RBI’s or more (his 2nd most for a season is 70), has had only 2 seasons of hitting 20 or more HR’s, hasn’t scored more than 61 runs in the last 3 seasons, and played 108 games last year and 117 the year before that ( I could go on, but my point has been made). STAY AWAY FROM PABLO.

ROUND 7

73 Zack Greinke, LAD SP Team Mike Gianella
74 Matt Moore, TB SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
75 Mat Latos, Cin SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
76 Ian Desmond, Wsh SS Team   Niec
77 Desmond Jennings, TB OF NYC @RobShawSports
78 Aroldis Chapman, Cin SP Team Ingram
79 Asdrubal Cabrera, Cle SS ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
80 Alex Gordon, KC OF NYC @MarkusPotter
81 Martin Prado, Ari OF Team Farrell
82 Aaron Hill, Ari 2B   Memphis @datrueguru
83 Eric Hosmer, KC 1B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
84 Ike Davis, NYM 1B Cincinnati @Whudey

A.Hill was the 2nd best 2B last year so getting him here was crucial as I wanted as much power as possible. Matt Moore is another player who has POTENTIAL but hasn’t showed enough for me to trust him. Ike Davis could end being a top 10 1B this year as long as he can his OBP up.

ROUND 8

85 Mark Trumbo, LAA OF Cincinnati @Whudey
86 Tim Lincecum, SF SP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
87 Jordan Zimmermann, Wsh SP   Memphis @datrueguru
88 Shane Victorino, Bos OF Team Farrell
89 Freddie Freeman, Atl 1B NYC @MarkusPotter
90 Jason Motte, StL RP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
91 Victor Martinez, Det C Team Ingram
92 Roy Halladay, Phi SP NYC @RobShawSports
93 Jonathan Papelbon, Phi RP Team   Niec
94 Mariano Rivera, NYY RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
95 Kris Medlen, Atl SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
96 Anthony Rizzo, ChC 1B Team Mike Gianella

Jordan Zimmerman is solid value especially in a league that counts QS as he was tied for 3rd with 24 of them last year. A lot of questionable players picked in this round such as Timmy, Halladay, Rivera.

ROUND 9

97 Jose Altuve, Hou 2B Team Mike Gianella
98 Mike Moustakas, KC 3B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
99 Paul Konerko, CWS 1B Jake Ciely @allinkid
100 Carlos Beltran, StL OF Team   Niec
101 Dexter Fowler, Col OF NYC @RobShawSports
102 Ryan Howard, Phi 1B Team Ingram
103 Josh Willingham, Min OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
104 Joe Nathan, Tex RP NYC @MarkusPotter
105 Dan Haren, Wsh SP Team Farrell
106 Jimmy Rollins, Phi SS   Memphis @datrueguru
107 Alex Rios, CWS OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
108 James Shields, KC SP Cincinnati @Whudey

Loved every player picked in this round except for Haren. Rollins gives me the only SS who scored 100 or more runs last year and had 20/30 season, will take that all day in the 9th round.

ROUND 10

109 Curtis Granderson, NYY OF Cincinnati @Whudey
110 Josh Johnson, Tor SP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
111 David Freese*,   StL 3B   Memphis @datrueguru
112 Howard Kendrick, LAA 2B Team Farrell
113 Jake Peavy, CWS SP NYC @MarkusPotter
114 Brandon Morrow, Tor SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
115 Elvis Andrus, Tex SS Team Ingram
116 Danny Espinosa, Wsh 2B NYC @RobShawSports
117 Nelson Cruz, Tex OF Team   Niec
118 Rafael Soriano, Wsh RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
119 Brett Anderson, Oak SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
120 Rickie Weeks, Mil 2B Team Mike Gianella

Went with Mr. Freese because he has high OBP. Another player I will never take is Elvis Andrus, see my next pick for reason why. Both Blue Jays pitchers could be great this year or get injured like years past, but like both pitchers.

ROUND 11

121 Miguel   Montero, Ari C Team Mike Gianella
122 Jim   Johnson, Bal RP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
123 Alejandro   De Aza, CWS OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
124 Mike   Napoli, Bos C Team   Niec
125 Wilin   Rosario, Col C NYC @RobShawSports
126 Hunter   Pence, SF OF Team   Ingram
127 Melky   Cabrera, Tor OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
128 Carl   Crawford, LAD OF NYC @MarkusPotter
129 Anibal   Sanchez, Det SP Team   Farrell
130 Alcides   Escobar, KC SS Memphis @datrueguru
131 Jon   Lester, Bos SP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
132 Jeff   Samardzija, ChC SP Cincinnati   @Whudey

A lot of solid picks this round and Jeff Samardzija could be the best pick in this round. I went with my boy Alcides Escobar because I wanted to fill my 2b/SS position and wanted SBs. Escobar had 14 more SBs than Andrus and most of their numbers are pretty similar. I know I’m in the minority that I would rather have Escobar than Andrus who is going 20-30 picks later in most drafts.

ROUND 12

133 Salvador   Perez, KC C Cincinnati   @Whudey
134 Jesus   Montero, Sea C Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
135 Matt   Harvey, NYM SP Memphis @datrueguru
136 Lance   Lynn, StL SP Team   Farrell
137 Chase   Utley, Phi 2B NYC @MarkusPotter
138 Neil   Walker, Pit 2B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
139 Chris   Davis, Bal 1B Team   Ingram
140 Carlos   Gomez, Mil OF NYC @RobShawSports
141 Dan   Uggla, Atl 2B Team   Niec
142 Ian   Kennedy, Ari SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
143 John   Axford, Mil RP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
144 Sergio   Romo, SF RP Team Mike Gianella

Matt Harvey is the real deal holy field as he had a K/9 of 10.62 last year, Strasburg had a K/9 of 11.13. Also, Harvey had 6 QS in 10 starts.

ROUND 13

145 Norichika   Aoki, Mil OF Team Mike Gianella
146 Fernando   Rodney, TB RP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
147 Jonathan   Lucroy, Mil C Jake Ciely @allinkid
148 Jason   Kubel, Ari OF Team   Niec
149 Alex   Avila, Det C NYC @RobShawSports
150 Joel   Hanrahan, Bos RP Team   Ingram
151 Nick   Swisher, Cle OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
152 J.J.   Putz, Ari RP NYC @MarkusPotter
153 Jarrod   Saltalamacchia, Bos C Team   Farrell
154 Glen   Perkins, Min RP Memphis @datrueguru
155 Brian   McCann*, Atl C Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
156 Todd   Frazier, Cin 3B Cincinnati   @Whudey

Was very disappointed that Lucroy and Avila went before I picked. Lucroy is very good and Avila is an On-base machine. I ended up going with my 1st closer in Glen Perkins and decided to wait on catchers now that both of the guys I was targeting were gone.

ROUND 14

157 Homer   Bailey, Cin SP Cincinnati   @Whudey
158 Kenley   Jansen, LAD RP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
159 Brett   Gardner, NYY OF Memphis @datrueguru
160 C.J.   Wilson, LAA SP Team   Farrell
161 Lance   Berkman, Tex 1B NYC @MarkusPotter
162 Jonathon   Niese, NYM SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
163 Pedro   Alvarez, Pit 3B Team   Ingram
164 Adam   Dunn, CWS 1B NYC @RobShawSports
165 Greg   Holland, KC RP Team   Niec
166 Michael   Cuddyer, Col OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
167 Erick   Aybar, LAA SS Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
168 Torii   Hunter, Det OF Team Mike Gianella

Niese is underrated and is a great value in a league that counts QS. I like Gardner a lot this year and gives me a 2nd SB specialist, plus I could trade him later in the season to a team that is desperate for stolen bases.

ROUND 15

169 Huston   Street, SD RP Team Mike Gianella
170 Michael   Morse, Sea OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
171 David   Ortiz, Bos DH Jake Ciely @allinkid
172 Andre   Ethier, LAD OF Team   Niec
173 Doug   Fister, Det SP NYC @RobShawSports
174 Jeremy   Hellickson, TB SP Team   Ingram
175 Angel   Pagan, SF OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
176 Kendrys   Morales, Sea 1B NYC @MarkusPotter
177 Emilio   Bonifacio, Tor OF Team   Farrell
178 Ernesto   Frieri, LAA RP Memphis @datrueguru
179 Ben   Revere, Phi OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
180 Coco   Crisp, Oak OF Cincinnati   @Whudey

A lot of high upside guys were taken in this round like Ortiz, Morales, Morse,  Coco Crisp, and Fister ( don’t even know her). I went Frieri because I needed another closer and I do not trust Ryan Madson to stay healthy. Side note: Picked up Sean Burnett for security for the LAA bullpen and didn’t drop anyone as I used Freese DL spot.

ROUND 16

181 Jarrod Parker, Oak SP Cincinnati @Whudey
182 Addison Reed, CWS RP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
183 Brandon Moss, Oak 1B Memphis @datrueguru
184 Chris Perez, Cle RP Team Farrell
185 Corey Hart*, Mil 1B NYC @MarkusPotter
186 Adam LaRoche, Wsh 1B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
187 Rafael Betancourt, Col RP Team Ingram
188 Derek Jeter, NYY SS NYC @RobShawSports
189 Will Middlebrooks, Bos 3B Team Niec
190 Adam Eaton, Ari OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
191 Josh Rutledge, Col SS Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
192 Josh Beckett, LAD SP Team Mike Gianella

ROUND 17

193 Chris   Carter, Hou 1B Team Mike Gianella
194 A.J.   Pierzynski, Tex C Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
195 Tom   Wilhelmsen, Sea RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
196 Grant   Balfour, Oak RP Team   Niec
197 Manny   Machado, Bal 3B NYC @RobShawSports
198 Jayson   Werth, Wsh OF Team   Ingram
199 Carlos   Ruiz, Phi C ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
200 Mike   Minor, Atl SP NYC @MarkusPotter
201 Jonathan   Broxton, Cin RP Team   Farrell
202 Steve   Cishek, Mia RP Memphis @datrueguru
203 Kyuji   Fujikawa, ChC RP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
204 Hiroki   Kuroda, NYY SP Cincinnati   @Whudey

Wanted Wilhelmsen so had to settle on Cishek, was hoping to get Fujikawa later too. Kuroda is an underrated SP so that is a solid pick.

ROUND 18

205 Ichiro   Suzuki, NYY OF Cincinnati   @Whudey
206 Everth   Cabrera, SD SS Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
207 Brandon   Belt, SF 1B Memphis @datrueguru
208 Jason   Grilli, Pit RP Team   Farrell
209 Bruce   Rondon, Det RP NYC @MarkusPotter
210 Bobby   Parnell, NYM RP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
211 Colby   Rasmus, Tor OF Team   Ingram
212 Casey   Janssen, Tor RP NYC @RobShawSports
213 Justin   Morneau, Min 1B Team   Niec
214 Ryan   Vogelsong, SF SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
215 Dayan   Viciedo, CWS OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
216 Starling   Marte, Pit OF Team Mike Gianella

A lot of great players went in the round with 3 closers that seem safe in Grilli, Parnell and Janssen. Then Vogelsong is QS machine. However, I took Brandon Belt who could have breakout year and could get close to 15-20 SBs.

ROUND 19

217 A.J.   Burnett, Pit SP Team Mike Gianella
218 Carlos   Quentin, SD OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
219 Ryan   Doumit, Min C Jake Ciely @allinkid
220 Ryan   Dempster, Bos SP Team   Niec
221 Brandon   League, LAD RP NYC @RobShawSports
222 Alex   Cobb, TB SP Team   Ingram
223 Kevin   Youkilis, NYY 3B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
224 Jed   Lowrie, Oak SS NYC @MarkusPotter
225 Jose   Veras, Hou RP Team   Farrell
226 David   Murphy, Tex OF Memphis @datrueguru
227 Marco   Scutaro, SF 2B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
228 Jedd   Gyorko, SD 2B Cincinnati   @Whudey

Like the Alex Cobb pick and The Gyro could payoff huge for Whudey as it is a low risk/high reward type of pick. Also think Jed Lowrie  will get plenty of Abs. David “Murphdawg” Murphy is very underrated as he had a .380 OBP & a .479 Slugging % while accumulating 65 runs,  15 HRs, 61 Runs, 10 SBS in only 457 ABs. Will take that all day long and  have been targeting him in all drafts as a great late round pick.

ROUND 20

229 Michael   Young, Phi 1B Cincinnati   @Whudey
230 Alfonso   Soriano, ChC OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
231 Matt   Harrison, Tex SP Memphis @datrueguru
232 Matt   Carpenter, StL 1B Team   Farrell
233 Marco   Estrada, Mil SP NYC @MarkusPotter
234 Alexi   Ogando, Tex SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
235 Josh   Reddick, Oak OF Team   Ingram
236 Nick   Markakis, Bal OF NYC @RobShawSports
237 Stephen   Drew, Bos SS Team   Niec
238 Sergio   Santos, Tor RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
239 J.P.   Arencibia, Tor C Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
240 Tim   Hudson, Atl SP Team Mike Gianella

Alexi Ogando could be a gem this late in the draft and Josh Reddick slugged 30HRs last year. I went with Harrison who is a QS stud as he had 20 of them last year and if he gets close to his 3.29 ERA then I’ll be happy with his production.

ROUND 21

241 Wade   Miley, Ari SP Team Mike Gianella
242 Domonic   Brown, Phi OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
243 Trevor   Cahill, Ari SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
244 Mark   Reynolds, Cle 1B Team   Niec
245 Michael   Brantley, Cle OF NYC @RobShawSports
246 Russell   Martin, Pit C Team   Ingram
247 Andrelton   Simmons, Atl SS ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
248 Jean   Segura, Mil SS NYC @MarkusPotter
249 Alexei   Ramirez, CWS SS Team   Farrell
250 A.J.   Ellis, LAD C Memphis @datrueguru
251 J.J.   Hardy, Bal SS Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
252 Brandon   McCarthy, Ari SP Cincinnati   @Whudey

Dominic Brown could have a breakout year. Also, feel like there were some bad picks like Simmons, Segura, and Alexi Ramirez which is why I didn’t want to wait to fill my 2B/SS position. Cahill & B-Mac ( McCarthy) are good value picks. I went with A.J. Ellis because I needed to fill my catcher position and he has a very high OBP.

ROUND 22

253 Rajai   Davis, Tor OF Cincinnati   @Whudey
254 Billy   Hamilton, Cin SS Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
255 Joaquin   Benoit, Det RP Memphis @datrueguru
256 Denard   Span, Wsh OF Team   Farrell
257 Wilson   Ramos, Wsh C NYC @MarkusPotter
258 Jaime   Garcia, StL SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
259 Lorenzo   Cain, KC OF Team   Ingram
260 Chris   Young, Oak OF NYC @RobShawSports
261 Derek   Holland, Tex SP Team   Niec
262 David   Robertson, NYY RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
263 Oscar   Taveras, StL OF Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
264 Jhonny   Peralta, Det SS Team Mike Gianella

Never believed in Rondon ( as he just got sent down) so I went with the guy that could be a closer in Benoit. Billy Hamilton is a waste of a pick as I don’t see him making a fantasy impact this season. LOVE Lorenzo Cain as he will be the starting CF for the Royals. Also liked picks 260-264 as Robertson could get 10-15 Saves this season and Taveras could be up sooner rather than later.

ROUND 23

265 Edwin   Jackson, ChC SP Team Mike Gianella
266 Jurickson   Profar, Tex 2B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
267 Wandy   Rodriguez, Pit SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
268 Chris   Iannetta, LAA C Team   Niec
269 Justin   Maxwell, Hou OF NYC @RobShawSports
270 Shelby   Miller, StL RP Team   Ingram
271 Vinnie   Pestano, Cle RP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
272 Yonder   Alonso, SD 1B NYC @MarkusPotter
273 Mitch   Moreland, Tex 1B Team   Farrell
274 Kyle   Seager, Sea 3B Memphis @datrueguru
275 Tommy   Hanson, LAA SP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
276 Tommy   Milone, Oak SP Cincinnati   @Whudey

I went with Seager and thought it was a great pick as I needed insurance for Freese/ Aramis and he put some great numbers last year. Like the Shelby Miller, Justin Maxwell and Yonder Alonso picks. Wouldn’t draft Profar/ most prospects in redraft leagues.

ROUND 24

277 Ross   Detwiler, Wsh SP Cincinnati   @Whudey
278 Ryan   Madson, LAA RP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
279 Jake   McGee, TB RP Memphis @datrueguru
280 Tyler   Flowers, CWS C Team   Farrell
281 Julio   Teheran, Atl SP NYC @MarkusPotter
282 Mark   Teixeira, NYY 1B ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
283 Garrett   Jones, Pit 1B Team   Ingram
284 Andy   Dirks, Det OF NYC @RobShawSports
285 Clay   Buchholz, Bos SP Team   Niec
286 David   Hernandez, Ari RP Jake Ciely @allinkid
287 Rick   Porcello, Det SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
288 Mike   Fiers, Mil SP Team Mike Gianella

Teheran could be the best pick in draft as he has had a great spring and could be a top 30 SP by the end of the season. As much as I don’t like Teixeira, that was a great value pick. I went with Jake Mcgee because he had 73Ks in 55 innings while posting a sub 2 ERA and 0.80 WHIP last year

ROUND 25

289 Hisashi   Iwakuma, Sea SP Team Mike Gianella
290 Yasmani   Grandal, SD C Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
291 Daniel   Murphy, NYM 2B Jake Ciely @allinkid
292 Cameron   Maybin, SD OF Team   Niec
293 Ryan   Ludwick, Cin OF NYC @RobShawSports
294 Carlos   Marmol, ChC RP Team   Ingram
295 Paul   Maholm, Atl SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
296 Hyun-Jin   Ryu, LAD SP NYC @MarkusPotter
297 Drew   Storen, Wsh RP Team   Farrell
298 Shaun   Marcum, NYM SP Memphis @datrueguru
299 Jeff   Keppinger, CWS 3B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
300 Michael   Saunders, Sea OF Cincinnati   @Whudey

Marcum provides me with a pitcher with high upside. Dan Murphy is nothing special and I mean that in a good way because he produces a lil something-something in all categories. Iwakuma could be a great pick this late in the draft.  Marmol won’t be closing by May.

ROUND 26

301 Sean   Marshall, Cin RP Cincinnati   @Whudey
302 Juan   Pierre, Mia OF Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
303 Matt   Joyce, TB OF Memphis @datrueguru
304 Matt   Garza, ChC SP Team   Farrell
305 Sean   Doolittle, Oak RP NYC @MarkusPotter
306 Brandon   Beachy*, Atl SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
307 Travis   d’Arnaud, NYM C Team   Ingram
308 Devin   Mesoraco, Cin C NYC @RobShawSports
309 Gordon   Beckham, CWS 2B Team   Niec
310 Trevor   Plouffe, Min 3B Jake Ciely @allinkid
311 Edinson   Volquez, SD SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
312 Juan   Francisco, Atl 3B Team Mike Gianella

Not a lot to report from this round.

ROUND 27

313 Zack   Cozart, Cin SS Team Mike Gianella
314 Brian   Matusz, Bal SP Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
315 Justin   Ruggiano, Mia OF Jake Ciely @allinkid
316 Johan   Santana, NYM SP Team   Niec
317 Phil   Hughes, NYY SP NYC @RobShawSports
318 Wil   Myers, TB OF Team   Ingram
319 Chris   Tillman, Bal SP ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
320 Tyler   Clippard, Wsh RP NYC @MarkusPotter
321 Cody   Ross, Ari OF Team   Farrell
322 Rob   Brantly, Mia C Memphis @datrueguru
323 Mark   Melancon, Pit RP Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
324 Luke   Gregerson, SD RP Cincinnati   @Whudey

Needed a 2nd catcher and Rob Brantly had great numbers in his limited playing time last year, plus he should play close to 140 games. Ruggiano and Tilman are great value picks.

ROUND 28

325 Aaron   Hicks, Min OF Cincinnati   @Whudey
326 Carlos   Pena, Hou 1B Jeff Boggis @JeffBoggis
327 Wei-Yin   Chen, Bal SP Memphis @datrueguru
328 Justin   Smoak, Sea 1B Team   Farrell
329 Jared   Burton, Min RP NYC @MarkusPotter
330 Leonys   Martin, Tex OF ESPN-Cockcroft @SultanofStat
331 Wade   Davis, KC RP Team   Ingram
332 Jason   Vargas, LAA SP NYC @RobShawSports
333 Jackie   Bradley, Bos OF Team   Niec
334 Lucas   Harrell, Hou SP Jake Ciely @allinkid
335 Alex   Rodriguez*, NYY 3B Fantasy Sharks- Bukowski
336 Dustin   Ackley, Sea 2B Team Mike Gianella

A lot of great picks in the last round…Aaron Hicks, Leonys Martin and Jackie Bradley could all turn out to be studs this year. I ended up dropping Chen for Phil Coke the next day to try secure the Detroit closer situation. Also, Jared Burton could get 5-10 saves throughout the season.

Dynasty Baseball strategy/draft

March 14, 2013

Dynasty baseball is a whole new ball game and I started my first leagues this year on Dynasty Sports Empire.com. The first team I drafted was an expansion team so I got to draft a new team while there were 10 other teams in the league that had established teams with keepers and such. Before I go any further, let me tell you about the league. It is a head-to-head points league with daily lineup changes. Each team gets 40 roster spots and you keep 25 players at the end of the season. Just like any H2H points league with daily lineup changes, getting a lot of pitchers is a big deal, but I seemed to be the only person that knew that (will explain why later). Also, people drafted a lot prospects which aren’t going to help them this year. I learned a lot from my first draft and was ready to DOMINATE my 2nd dynasty draft where all the teams were starting from scratch.

1st thing that you have to decide is whether you’re going to play for this year or for the future. It sounds like a simple concept but this rule gets broken all the time. What I mean by that is if you’re going to draft a bunch of young players then don’t spend a pick on a David Ortiz or any other player that only has a couple years left. The flip side of that is if you’re playing to win this year then drafting 5-7 prospects that aren’t going to help you in the next year or 2 is a waste of a roster space. My team is filled young players that are young and can contribute this year.

My Draft Strategy for Dynasty Draft #2

Scoring system: go here to check out the scoring system. http://www4.fantrax.com/fantasy/leagueRulesSummary.go?leagueId=mrjqzr8ehc99yk0v

I ended up with 7th pick of the draft out of 16 teams. My strategy going into the draft was to draft a great pitching staff with a lot of starters, get established young players (players aged 24-28), and avoid prospects. The “avoiding prospects” is an idea that only I go by, but why? Simple, I want to win EVERY year, including this year. We have 40 roster spots, so why would I waste 5-7 roster spots on prospects that aren’t going to help my squad for years? One argument is well you have so many spots that it doesn’t matter if you waste 5-7 slots, but that is throwing away points to me. I would much rather draft a starting pitcher that gets my team 9 points every start then a player that will get me ZERO points for the next year or two no matter how great he is PROJECTED to be. Also, I try to have a very limited number of hitters on my bench; this is a strategy you can use in any daily lineup leagues because having hitters sitting on your bench is a waste of space. Think about it…I can have a starting pitcher that gets me 12 points a week on 1 start or a bench hitter that I might start once or twice a week that will at most get me 6-7 points.

Before I talk about my roster, I want to go in-depth at the last point I just made about maximizing your pitching staff. If I have 15 starting pitchers on my roster and I figure 5-7 of them will be starting 2 games that week, then that gives my team 20-25 starts per week. That is a lot of points and puts my team at huge advantage when I’m facing a team that only has 12-15 starts per week. It is a lot easier to make up the difference between poor offense vs a good offense if I can double the amount starts the other team has. If that better offense generates about 6 more points than my offense a day then that’s only about 36-40 more points than my team over a week long matchup which equals only about 4 or 5 extra starts from my pitchers (that’s if my pitchers only get 8 points per start, ie Barry Zito averages 12 points per start).

Now it’s time for me to gloat..I mean to tell you about my team. I picked Andrew McCutchen with my first pick because he is young and is about to hit his prime. Then it came back around to me and I needed an ace to anchor my staff so I picked Matt Cain, who is young and averaged the 6th most Fantasy points per game (FP/G) with 29.03 points. Compare that to Cutch who averages 4.61 FP/G which is 15th amongst hitters. Before I go any further, let me break down to you how pitchers are more valuable then hitters despite popular belief. Let’s say Cutch has an awesome week and averages 6 points per game for 7 games ( that would only happen a couple of times a year) then that’s 42 points for the week. Now Matt Cain starts two times in a week ( which happens probably about every 3 weeks so 33% of the time he will be starting twice a week) and gets his averages points per start. Well that’s almost 60 points for the week and a HUGE advantage over Cutch ( I like to call him predator because of his dreads). Back to the draft, I wanted to get another starting pitcher so I picked Chris Sale in round 3 over Madison Bumgarner. This was one of my toughest decisions because they are both young (24 years old), but Sale averaged 22.1 FP/G (17th overall) while Bumgarner averaged 20.6 FP/G(23rd overall) last year so I went with player who averaged more points per start. Remember I am trying to go young but productive. 4th round was an easy selection as Billy Butler, who I like a lot, was still around. Then I selected Johnny Cueto, a player that has performed at an elite level, but doesn’t get the credit he deserves. He had a 2.78 ERA in 217 IP with a 1.17 WHIP plus he is only 26. Then went with Austin Jackson, another youngster just now coming into his prime and then took Matt Harvey, 24 years old, with my next pick. My team is shaping up perfectly with a bunch of young talent that can produce this year and years to come. Here is my roster and I put some side notes of why I took/like certain players and what round they were drafted in.

My Roster ( age of the player, round he was drafted, & FP/G is average fantasy points per game last year)

C- Alex Avila (age-26, 12th round, 2.09 FP/G)– Has a great career OBP (.352 OBP in 2012 & .389 OBP in 2011, .359 career OBP) and was hurt most of last year, plus he is hitting in of the best lineups in baseball

1B- Billy Butler (age- 26, 4th round, 3.84 FP/G)

2B- Gordon Beckham (age-26, 17th round, 2.42 FP/G)- while he clearly isn’t the best option at 2B, he is young and I just wanted a player that will start every game as he has played in 150 games or more in his last 2 season.

3B- David Freese (age-29, 12th round, 2.86 FP/G)- Freese is solid and this late in the draft couldn’t go wrong as I needed a third baseman.

SS- Alcides Escobar (age 26, 8th round, 3.16 FP/G)- Love Escobar as he was one of the top SB leaders last year among SS and one of the best up and coming SS. Considering he outperformed Elvis Andrus last year who went about 25 picks ahead of Alcides, was very happy getting him were I did.

INF- Brandon Belt (age 24, 13th round, 2.42 FP/G)- another player with a lot upside, is young, and has a starting gig. What’s not to like?

INF- Brandon Moss ( age 29, 23rd round, 3.34 FP/G)- it is amazing how many people sleep on this dude. He hit 21 HRs in 84 games. If he plays 140 games this year then he can easily smash 30 HRs

INF- Brett Wallace( age 26, 28th round, 1.78 FP/G)- This is a big year for Mr. Wallace, but he will be the starting 1B for the Astros…ha, yea that’s not that special but he could have a breakout year or continue in mediocrity which is fine with me.

LF- David Murphy ( age 31, 18th round, 3.22 FP/G)- finally went with a player who is over 30 years old, but this is another player that is consistently good and could see 100-150 more ABs this year. .his line was .304 BA, 15 HRs, 10 SBs, 65 runs, 61 RBIs last year in only 457
ABs and could increase those numbers to 20 HRs, 15 SBs, 80 Runs/RBIs this year which would be great value considering where I drafted him.

CF- Andrew McCutchen (age 26, 1st round, 4.61 FP/G)- Hes the anchor of my franchise

RF- Lucas Duda (age 27, 22nd round, 2.23 FP/G)- this is an intriguing player with high upside who could also flop. At this point in the draft I wanted a player that could help me this year and also starts. See a theme here about getting starters?

OF- Lorenzo Cain (age 26, 10th round, 3.25 FP/G)- If Cain can stay healthy then he could produce some really good numbers. he is my 3rd Kansas City player so that is kinda scary.

OF- Austin Jackson- (age 26, 6th round, 2.83 FP/G)- This kid has all the makings of a 5 tool player with a good BA and has a chance of going 20/20 this year.

Util- Josh Donaldson (age 27, 29th round, 2.27 FP/G)- whether you think he can produce like last year is irrelevant because he is the starting 3B for the A’s and should get plenty of ABs.

Bench-
Jemile Weeks- traded F. Cervelli & Kolten Wong for him. This could be a bad trade, but I think Weeks could be solid this year and could be the future 2nd basemen for the A’s for a long time.

Fernando Martinez (HOU, 34th round) & Mike Baxter (NYM, 36th round)- just wanted a couple of players that could play every day that I could sub in if needed. Don’t plan on sitting anyone on my roster so I don’t need a strong bench of hitters.

Pitchers (FP/G is per start last year)

SP- Homer Bailey (age-26,round 9th, 18.94 FP/G)- A consistent pitcher.

SP- Matt Cain ( age-28, round 2nd, 29.03 FP/G)

SP-Johnny Cueto (age-26, round 5th, 21.18 FP/G)

SP-Matt Harrison ( age-27, round 11th, 20.47 FP/G)- I do see Harrison regressing a bit but always feel confident in a players true talent when a team gives a player a lot of money as the Rangers signed Harrison to a big deal this winter.

SP- Chris Sale (age 24, round 3rd, 22.1 FP/G)

RP in H2H points leagues is different than other leagues and could be a very complicated situation. I chose to not spend a high draft on a RP and instead get a couple of pitchers that will be starters who qualify at RP. Those pitchers can be more valuable than most closers. Also, saves are 10 points while holds are 5 points so there is still good value in RP that won’t be closers

RP- Jared Burton (age -31, round 33rd, 3.19 FP/G)- He is young and should be the setup man for Glen Perkins and could get a couple of saves throughout the season

RP- Scott Feldman (age-30, round 40th, 3 FP/G)- before you throw up in your mouth..this is a player that would not make most fantasy rosters but he could provide 8-10 points per start at the RP position since he is penciled as a starter for the Cubs.

RP-Ernesto Frieri (age-27, round 16th, 5.87 FP/G)- LOVE this is guy (no homo) as he will be the closer when/if Ryan Madson gets injured. Just has filthy stuff and should be a solid closer for the next couple of years

RP-Kyuji Fujikawa (age-32, round 24th, n/a FP/G)- only thing more fun than saying his name is watching him dominate MLB hitters while piling up saves. The Cubs don’t trust Carlos Marmol so neither should you. Think he could easily collect 20 saves this season and should be the Cubs closer for the future

RP- Stephen Pryor (age-23, round 30th, 2.26 FP/G)- This is a prime example of a young prospect who will contribute this year. He is the setup man

RP-Erasmo Ramirez (age-22, 27th round, 8.5 FP/G) – Should win a starting rotation, SP with RP eligibility, young stud. Nuff Said

Bench (aka starters galore)

Matt Harvey (age- 23, 7th round, 16.5 FP/G)- Harvey has all the tools to be a dominating pitcher. I drafted him pretty high, but I believe in this kid. He had a 2.73 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, & 10.62 K/9 , those are ridiculous numbers especially for a pitcher as young as him.

Daniel Bard (age-27, 35th round, -1.76 FP/G)- listed as SP, Bard has dominate stuff as long as he is coming in from the bullpen and is still young.

Wei-Yin Chen (age-27 , 21 round, 12.72 FP/G)- nothing special here..just another SP in the arsenal.

Alex Cobb (age-25, 15th round, 14.61 FP/G)- was surprised how far he fell. This kid could be a stud for years to come and I really think he can improve on last year’s numbers.

Danny Duffy (age-24, 31st round, 6.83 FP/G)- one of the key pitchers in the Royals organization. Another youngster & another SP.

Juan Nicasio (age-26, 37th round, 5.27 FP/G)- not sure if he will be much of a factor this year, but he is young and throws gas, plus I got him really late in the draft.

Mike Pelfrey (age-29, 39th round, 12.67 FP/G)- will be perfectly satisfied if he can average the same amount points he did last year.

Martin Perez (age-21, 26th round, -2 FP/G)- Fits my mold of young stud who can contribute this year ( I sound like a broken record). Kind of hope he starts in the bullpen so he can gain RP eligibility as well.

Chris Tillman (age-24, 19th round, 20.33 FP/G)- His FP/G was spectacular last year and think he could have a huge this year and is clearly flying under the radar (Iron Eagle style)

Vance Worley (age-25, 25th round, 8.3 FP/G)- Hope he makes the rotation. The Twins gave up Ben Revere for him so they must think highly of Worley

Barry Zito (age-34, 32nd round, 13.19FP/G)- I got nothing

In total that is 17 starting pitchers on my roster. Easily the most in the league and the best part is most of them are young studs. Every day I should have around 2-3 SP going, which means it doesn’t matter how great my opponent’s offensive is because there is no way they are going to compete with my pitching. I will breakdown some of the rosters in the next article. Hopefully this provided with some valuable fantasy baseball knowledge.

“All Things Fantasy” (3-11-13)

March 12, 2013


This is the Monday March 13th, 2013 edition of “All Things Fantasy”. Nick Raducanu (@fantasytrade411, Trader X) joined me on the show to talk some key issues for fantasy baseball. Also, talked some fantasy basketball pickups and Isaac Stock (@IkeNBall) threw in some pickups as well. Here are my notes from the show and some of the topics that were discussed during the interview.

@fantasytrade411 interview (fantasy baseball)

Who would you take #1 overall and #4 overall?

how good will Will Middlebrookes be this year?

Why are people drafting Paul Goldshmidt so high (23rd in HRs by 1st basemen) (19th overall ADP by mock draft central.com) ?

considering how good Edwin Encarncion was last year do you think he is Falling in drafts or just right? how likely to repeat numbers from last year?

Some players you are high on and some players you will not be drafting

Can you trust R.A. Dickey this year?

Ike Davis, Eric Hosmer, or Anthony rizzo Rank them and why?

NBA:
NBA:
Current news (% owned in ESPN leagues)
Jermaine O’Neal (13% owned)
Kyrie irving/ Shaun Livingston
D-Rose being 95% owned

Pickups

C.J. Miles (8%)- has scored in double figures in 10 of his last 11 games. 2.5 3PM per game and 1.6 steals in his last 15 games

Trevor Ariza (31.3% of ESPN leagues)- had 26-10 in his last game and has scored 15 or more points in 6 of his last 9 games and 6 or more rebounds in 5 of out of 9 of those 9 games

Eric maynor (5 games next week)(3% owned)- has averaged 8.3 points & 5

Nate Robinson ( 23% owned)-16.5 points, 7.5 assist,5 rebs, 2.5 steals in his last 2 games.

J.J. Barea (6%) – has scored in double figures in 6 of his last 7 games ( and he got thrown out of that game and 4 or more assist in 4 of his last 7 games. getting plenty to opps to score and close to 3.5 rebounds per game in those 7 games


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.